Ararat-Armenia vs FC Lori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
40.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat-Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
AVA
1 - 3
BAN
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
FCY
1 - 4
AVA
40%
22%
38%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
NOA
1 - 1
AVA
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
AVA
3 - 1
SHI
32%
29%
40%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +3 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
ALA
1 - 3
AVA
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
FC Lori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
ALA
2 - 1
FCL
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
JSF
2 - 3
FCL
32%
23%
45%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
FCL
3 - 0
GAN
48%
28%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
PYU
0 - 3
FCL
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
FCL
1 - 0
ARA
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |