FC Augsburg vs Darmstadt 98 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
33.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
7º
15º
11º
17
11º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 75 |
2º
|
94% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 73 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 67 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
98% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 43 |
8º
|
30.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 40 |
10º
|
26% | |
|
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 38 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
55.5% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 34 |
14º
|
41% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 33 |
15º
|
43.5% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 31 |
16º
|
77% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 28 |
17º
|
97% | |
|
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Augsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SCF
2 - 0
AUG
64%
21%
16%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
AUG
2 - 1
M05
29%
24%
48%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
RBL
3 - 0
AUG
79%
14%
7%
|
78 | 93 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
AUG
2 - 2
RTV
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BYM
3 - 1
AUG
87%
10%
4%
|
77 | 96 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Darmstadt 98
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
DAR
4 - 2
BRE
34%
25%
41%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
STU
3 - 1
DAR
56%
22%
23%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
DAR
3 - 3
MON
22%
22%
56%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
LEV
5 - 1
DAR
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
DAR
1 - 4
FCU
21%
24%
55%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |