FC Augsburg vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.5%
1-0
1.2%
2-1
0.9%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
2.4%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.2%
88.8%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
13.7%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.9%
0-4
11%
1-5
3.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
14.9%
0-5
7.1%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
9.1%
0-6
3.8%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
-6
4.7%
0-7
1.7%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
2.1%
0-8
0.7%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.8%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.3%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
9º
17º
15º
71
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Augsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
BRE
0 - 1
AUG
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
AUG
0 - 2
HER
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
HOF
1 - 0
AUG
66%
20%
15%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
AUG
1 - 2
M05
34%
25%
41%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
LEV
1 - 2
AUG
67%
19%
13%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
BYM
2 - 0
FCB
58%
21%
22%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
BYM
2 - 2
STU
85%
11%
4%
|
95 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
INT
0 - 2
BYM
25%
20%
55%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FCU
1 - 1
BYM
5%
10%
85%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
VIK
0 - 5
BYM
1%
5%
94%
|
95 | 60 | 35 | 0 |