Noah vs FC Van analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
28.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
8º
10º
9º
40
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noah
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
NOA
1 - 2
AVA
29%
28%
44%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ARA
2 - 1
NOA
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
NOA
0 - 1
PYU
29%
27%
44%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
BAN
3 - 1
NOA
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
NOA
0 - 0
BKM
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
FC Van
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
VAN
1 - 0
ALA
25%
26%
49%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
VAN
2 - 1
SHI
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2022 |
AVA
4 - 0
VAN
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
VAN
0 - 2
ARA
44%
27%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
VAN
0 - 1
BAN
30%
28%
42%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |