Ario vs Peykan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.2%
43%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
FCA
1 - 1
NAF
43%
30%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
SHA
0 - 1
FCA
28%
28%
44%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
FCA
3 - 1
NAF
38%
30%
32%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2025 |
PAR
2 - 2
FCA
47%
28%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2025 |
FCA
1 - 0
DAM
44%
29%
28%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Peykan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
PAY
3 - 0
DAM
67%
23%
11%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
MSB
1 - 1
PAY
25%
29%
46%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
PAY
2 - 0
PAR
60%
25%
15%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
PAY
0 - 0
SNF
58%
25%
16%
|
72 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2025 |
NAF
0 - 0
PAY
16%
27%
57%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |