Aarau vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
30.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1998 |
FCL
2 - 2
FCA
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1998 |
SIO
3 - 2
FCA
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
FCA
2 - 0
LUG
64%
22%
15%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1998 |
YOB
1 - 1
FCA
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 1998 |
FCA
2 - 2
LAU
33%
26%
41%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1998 |
ZUR
4 - 0
ANO
35%
25%
41%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1998 |
ZUR
3 - 0
SIO
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1998 |
LUG
0 - 0
ZUR
36%
28%
36%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
ZUR
3 - 2
YOB
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1998 |
SHA
3 - 2
ZUR
76%
15%
9%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |