Aarau vs Winterthur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
29.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
FCA
4 - 0
NEX
63%
20%
17%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
STA
1 - 1
FCA
30%
24%
46%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
GCZ
2 - 1
FCA
48%
24%
28%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
FCA
4 - 2
SIO
29%
24%
48%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
KRI
0 - 0
FCA
33%
23%
44%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
WIN
0 - 0
KRI
56%
23%
22%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
NEX
3 - 1
WIN
24%
24%
51%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
WIN
6 - 2
BAS
15%
19%
66%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | +3 |
| 09 Feb. 2021 |
WIN
2 - 3
GCZ
32%
25%
43%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
STA
4 - 1
WIN
30%
26%
45%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |