Aarau vs FC Wil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
25.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
2º
7º
4º
56
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 1
FCA
14%
20%
66%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FCA
5 - 2
NEX
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
THU
2 - 3
FCA
44%
24%
32%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
STA
3 - 4
FCA
36%
24%
40%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
FCA
0 - 2
FCV
46%
24%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
WIL
1 - 2
STA
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
WIL
3 - 1
SCH
35%
25%
41%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
NEX
0 - 1
WIL
25%
24%
51%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
WIL
1 - 2
THU
29%
24%
47%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
SCH
4 - 1
WIL
37%
26%
38%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -2 |