Challenge League . Jor. 1

Aarau vs FC Wil analysis

Aarau FC Wil
59 ELO 58
22.1% Tilt 33%
1396º General ELO ranking 1897º
17º Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
53.4%
Aarau
22.6%
Draw
24%
FC Wil

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
Aarau
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
24%
Win probability
FC Wil
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aarau
-3%
-16%
FC Wil

ELO progression

Aarau
FC Wil
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aarau
Aarau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Sep. 2020
FCA
Aarau
0 - 0
FC Wil
WIL
51%
21%
28%
59 58 1 0
08 Sep. 2020
FCA
Aarau
5 - 1
FC Koniz
FCK
79%
13%
8%
59 45 14 0
01 Sep. 2020
YFJ
YF Juventus
3 - 3
Aarau
FCA
14%
16%
70%
59 44 15 0
29 Aug. 2020
FCA
Aarau
5 - 1
Kriens
KRI
44%
22%
34%
58 59 1 +1
02 Aug. 2020
SCH
Schaffhausen
2 - 4
Aarau
FCA
28%
24%
49%
58 51 7 0

Matches

FC Wil
FC Wil
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Sep. 2020
FCA
Aarau
0 - 0
FC Wil
WIL
51%
21%
28%
58 59 1 0
04 Sep. 2020
WIL
FC Wil
0 - 0
Austria Lustenau
SCA
36%
24%
40%
58 57 1 0
28 Aug. 2020
ZUR
Zurich
1 - 0
FC Wil
WIL
71%
17%
12%
58 72 14 0
26 Aug. 2020
WIL
FC Wil
1 - 2
Schaffhausen
SCH
56%
23%
22%
58 50 8 0
21 Aug. 2020
FCV
FC Vaduz
3 - 1
FC Wil
WIL
63%
19%
18%
58 68 10 0
X