Swiss Super League Round 10

Aarau vs Thun analysis

Aarau Thun
75 ELO 71
1.6% Tilt -0.1%
760º General ELO ranking 454º
15º Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
56.8%
Aarau
22.8%
Draw
20.5%
Thun

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
Aarau
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.5%
Win probability
Thun
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aarau
+8%
+6%
Thun

ELO progression

Aarau
Thun
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aarau
Aarau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Sep. 2003
WIL
FC Wil
1 - 0
Aarau
FCA
44%
25%
31%
76 70 6 0
30 Aug. 2003
FCA
Aarau
3 - 3
Zurich
ZUR
49%
25%
25%
76 76 0 0
23 Aug. 2003
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
0 - 1
Aarau
FCA
55%
23%
22%
75 79 4 +1
17 Aug. 2003
FCA
Aarau
3 - 1
Young Boys
YOB
41%
25%
35%
74 76 2 +1
09 Aug. 2003
BAS
Basel
3 - 1
Aarau
FCA
75%
16%
10%
75 84 9 -1

Matches

Thun
Thun
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Sep. 2003
ZUR
Zurich
4 - 0
Thun
THU
57%
23%
20%
71 76 5 0
31 Aug. 2003
THU
Thun
0 - 0
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
36%
26%
38%
71 79 8 0
22 Aug. 2003
YOB
Young Boys
2 - 1
Thun
THU
61%
21%
18%
71 76 5 0
16 Aug. 2003
THU
Thun
0 - 4
Basel
BAS
24%
22%
54%
72 84 12 -1
09 Aug. 2003
STG
St. Gallen
1 - 1
Thun
THU
59%
22%
19%
72 78 6 0