Challenge League Round 19

Aarau vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis

Aarau Neuchâtel Xamax
66 ELO 58
14.7% Tilt 30.8%
743º General ELO ranking 1600º
15º Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
66.2%
Aarau
19.7%
Draw
14%
Neuchâtel Xamax

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
Aarau
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14%
Win probability
Neuchâtel Xamax
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aarau
-1%
-5%
Neuchâtel Xamax

ELO progression

Aarau
Neuchâtel Xamax
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aarau
Aarau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jan. 2022
FCA
Aarau
9 - 0
AC Bellinzona
BEL
66%
18%
16%
66 57 9 0
21 Jan. 2022
SCH
Schotz
1 - 4
Aarau
FCA
5%
11%
83%
66 37 29 0
14 Jan. 2022
FCA
Aarau
2 - 1
UTA Arad
UTA
45%
25%
31%
66 71 5 0
13 Jan. 2022
FCA
Aarau
4 - 1
Voluntari
VOL
32%
25%
43%
66 76 10 0
17 Dec. 2021
FCA
Aarau
1 - 0
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
62%
21%
17%
66 59 7 0

Matches

Neuchâtel Xamax
Neuchâtel Xamax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jan. 2022
BAS
Basel
3 - 1
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
84%
12%
5%
58 85 27 0
15 Jan. 2022
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
1 - 3
Thun
THU
19%
20%
62%
58 69 11 0
17 Dec. 2021
FCA
Aarau
1 - 0
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
62%
21%
17%
59 66 7 -1
10 Dec. 2021
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
1 - 4
Thun
THU
22%
23%
55%
59 69 10 0
03 Dec. 2021
STA
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
0 - 0
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
50%
25%
25%
59 64 5 0