Aarau vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
37%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
FCA
1 - 3
BAS
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
LUG
4 - 1
FCA
52%
25%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
ZUR
0 - 1
FCA
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
FCA
1 - 3
LAU
24%
25%
51%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
FCL
2 - 1
FCA
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
ZUR
2 - 1
NEX
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
NEX
1 - 2
LAU
36%
25%
39%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
FCL
1 - 1
NEX
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
NEX
3 - 2
SER
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
DEL
2 - 2
NEX
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |