Aarau vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
57.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
FCA
2 - 1
LEM
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
WOH
0 - 0
FCA
36%
26%
37%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
NEX
2 - 0
FCA
49%
24%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
FCV
2 - 1
FCA
57%
22%
21%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
FCA
1 - 1
CHI
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
FCL
3 - 1
YOB
43%
26%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
BAS
3 - 0
FCL
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
FCL
1 - 0
THU
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
FCL
1 - 2
SCA
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SIO
2 - 0
FCL
35%
25%
40%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |