Aarau vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
36.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
SIO
2 - 1
FCA
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
FCA
0 - 4
ZUR
17%
22%
60%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2006 |
THU
2 - 1
FCA
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
LAU
0 - 1
FCA
44%
24%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
BAS
3 - 1
FCA
81%
13%
6%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
FCL
3 - 1
YOB
29%
25%
46%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
FCL
1 - 1
SIO
40%
27%
34%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2006 |
ZUR
2 - 1
FCL
75%
16%
9%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
KRI
0 - 4
FCL
23%
22%
56%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
THU
1 - 1
FCL
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |