Aarau vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
39.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
SIO
1 - 1
FCA
57%
25%
18%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
FCA
0 - 1
BAS
14%
20%
67%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
BAS
1 - 0
FCA
82%
12%
6%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
ZUR
2 - 2
FCA
78%
15%
7%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
FCA
0 - 0
THU
35%
27%
39%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
FCL
0 - 0
SCH
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
GCZ
5 - 0
FCL
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
FCL
3 - 1
GCZ
31%
25%
44%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
FCL
1 - 1
YOB
25%
25%
51%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
STG
0 - 0
FCL
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |