Aarau vs FC Vaduz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
33.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
FCA
1 - 2
SCH
70%
18%
12%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
STA
0 - 2
FCA
25%
24%
50%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2020 |
FCA
3 - 0
BAD
84%
12%
5%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2020 |
FCA
1 - 0
CSU
28%
24%
48%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
FCA
1 - 1
OSN
37%
23%
40%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
GCZ
1 - 2
FCV
39%
26%
35%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
FCV
2 - 1
WIL
56%
23%
22%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2020 |
FCV
0 - 0
SGF
40%
23%
37%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2020 |
FCV
5 - 3
MEP
48%
23%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
FCV
1 - 2
EBT
45%
23%
32%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |