Aarau vs Dornach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.4%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.8%
4-0
11.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
+4
13.9%
3-0
15.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.2%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.1%
9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
4%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
9%
2.5%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
FCA
4 - 4
KRI
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
LAU
1 - 0
FCA
61%
21%
18%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
FCA
1 - 2
FCV
42%
24%
34%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
FCA
1 - 2
SCH
70%
18%
12%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
STA
0 - 2
FCA
25%
24%
50%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Dornach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
FCK
0 - 1
DOR
18%
20%
62%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
DOR
2 - 2
FCC
53%
20%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
LIE
0 - 3
DOR
56%
21%
23%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
DOR
0 - 1
OLD
40%
21%
38%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
BIN
0 - 3
DOR
36%
24%
40%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +2 |