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Friendly. Matchday 145

Aarau vs Baden analysis

Aarau Baden
47 ELO 15
31% Tilt 51%
1731º General ELO ranking 7269º
14º Country ELO ranking 51º
ELO win probability
58.7%
Aarau
18.9%
Draw
22.4%
Baden

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
Aarau
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
22.4%
Win probability
Baden
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%