Aarau vs Baden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.6%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1985 |
VEV
1 - 1
FCA
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1985 |
SER
4 - 2
FCA
68%
18%
14%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1985 |
FCA
2 - 1
STG
54%
21%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1985 |
FCL
1 - 2
FCA
42%
26%
33%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1985 |
GCZ
2 - 2
FCA
65%
18%
17%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1985 |
BAD
0 - 1
STG
24%
27%
50%
|
51 | 78 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1985 |
GCZ
3 - 0
BAD
81%
13%
6%
|
52 | 80 | 28 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 1985 |
BAD
1 - 4
SER
10%
23%
67%
|
52 | 84 | 32 | 0 |