FBC Melgar vs UTC Cajamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
16.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
ALI
3 - 3
MEL
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
MEL
3 - 0
AUN
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
MEL
2 - 2
GAR
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
BIN
1 - 5
MEL
31%
26%
44%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 1
VAL
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
UTC
2 - 1
GAR
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
BIN
1 - 0
UTC
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
UTC
0 - 0
VAL
28%
27%
45%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
HUA
0 - 0
UTC
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
UTC
0 - 1
UNI
37%
27%
36%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |