FBC Melgar vs Univ. San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
40.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
ALI
0 - 2
MEL
53%
26%
21%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
MEL
0 - 2
AYA
49%
28%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
TOT
3 - 2
MEL
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
MEL
2 - 2
CIE
43%
28%
30%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
AUR
2 - 2
MEL
55%
26%
19%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2009 |
SAM
2 - 1
CIE
53%
26%
21%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
SAM
4 - 1
AUR
54%
26%
19%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2009 |
SAM
0 - 1
UNI
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
BOL
1 - 4
SAM
27%
28%
46%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
SAM
1 - 1
HUA
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |