FBC Melgar vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
49%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 2
MEL
47%
24%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
MEL
0 - 1
UTC
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
ALI
3 - 3
MEL
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
MEL
3 - 0
AUN
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
MEL
2 - 2
GAR
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
SPC
4 - 1
GAR
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
SPC
51%
23%
26%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
SPC
0 - 1
VAL
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
SPC
1 - 3
PEÑ
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
HUA
1 - 2
SPC
15%
21%
63%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |