Copa Libertadores Grupo F. Jor. 1

FBC Melgar vs San Lorenzo analysis

FBC Melgar San Lorenzo
72 ELO 78
1% Tilt -7.1%
458º General ELO ranking 110º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
40.8%
FBC Melgar
26.8%
Draw
32.4%
San Lorenzo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
FBC Melgar
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
32.4%
Win probability
San Lorenzo
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FBC Melgar
-3%
-4%
San Lorenzo

ELO progression

FBC Melgar
San Lorenzo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FBC Melgar
FBC Melgar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Feb. 2019
CFC
Caracas
2 - 1
FBC Melgar
MEL
34%
26%
40%
73 67 6 0
23 Feb. 2019
AYA
Ayacucho FC
1 - 1
FBC Melgar
MEL
39%
26%
35%
73 65 8 0
20 Feb. 2019
MEL
FBC Melgar
2 - 0
Caracas
CFC
55%
23%
22%
72 68 4 +1
17 Feb. 2019
MEL
FBC Melgar
0 - 3
Deportivo Municipal
MUN
55%
24%
21%
73 69 4 -1
13 Feb. 2019
UCH
Univ de Chile
0 - 0
FBC Melgar
MEL
48%
25%
26%
73 74 1 0

Matches

San Lorenzo
San Lorenzo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Mar. 2019
SLO
San Lorenzo
2 - 3
Argentinos Juniors
ARG
55%
26%
19%
79 74 5 0
23 Feb. 2019
BEL
Belgrano
0 - 0
San Lorenzo
SLO
32%
29%
39%
79 74 5 0
16 Feb. 2019
SLO
San Lorenzo
1 - 1
Newell's Old Boys
NOB
54%
26%
20%
79 74 5 0
02 Feb. 2019
SLO
San Lorenzo
0 - 0
Independiente
IND
35%
27%
38%
79 83 4 0
26 Jan. 2019
DYJ
Defensa y Justicia
1 - 0
San Lorenzo
SLO
60%
23%
18%
79 83 4 0
X