FBC Melgar vs León de Huánuco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
SAM
1 - 0
MEL
33%
29%
39%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
AUR
2 - 3
MEL
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
MEL
4 - 0
JUN
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
MEL
2 - 0
VAL
42%
27%
32%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
JUN
5 - 0
MEL
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
León de Huánuco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
LEO
0 - 0
CIE
47%
27%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
LEO
3 - 2
AYA
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
EME
3 - 0
LEO
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
UTC
2 - 2
LEO
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
LEO
1 - 3
EME
24%
26%
50%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |