FBC Melgar vs Cienciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
29.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2009 |
AUR
2 - 2
MEL
55%
26%
19%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
MEL
2 - 1
BOL
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2009 |
VAL
5 - 1
MEL
48%
27%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
SPC
1 - 2
MEL
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
MEL
0 - 0
UNI
41%
29%
31%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2009 |
TOT
4 - 0
CIE
50%
27%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
CIE
3 - 0
AYA
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
CNI
1 - 3
CIE
47%
28%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
CIE
3 - 0
ALI
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
AUR
1 - 1
CIE
48%
28%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |