FBC Melgar vs Alianza Universidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
16.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
MEL
2 - 2
GAR
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
BIN
1 - 5
MEL
31%
26%
44%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 1
VAL
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
HUA
0 - 3
MEL
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 2
MAN
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
AUN
2 - 0
SBO
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
GAR
2 - 3
AUN
58%
24%
19%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
AUN
0 - 0
ALI
35%
28%
37%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2021 |
BIN
1 - 1
AUN
51%
24%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
COM
4 - 1
AUN
56%
22%
22%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |