FBC Melgar vs Academia Cantolao analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2019 |
VAL
0 - 3
MEL
49%
25%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
MEL
2 - 3
SPC
24%
25%
51%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
SBO
4 - 2
MEL
29%
27%
43%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
MEL
2 - 3
ALI
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
HUA
1 - 1
MEL
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Academia Cantolao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
CAN
0 - 1
MAN
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
SAM
3 - 1
CAN
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
CAN
3 - 0
PIR
60%
24%
16%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 1
CAN
57%
24%
20%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
CAN
1 - 2
GAR
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |