Fayal vs Santiago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
62.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fayal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
FAY
3 - 2
AGU
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PRA
1 - 0
FAY
83%
12%
5%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
FAY
3 - 0
SCG
31%
24%
45%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
PRA
5 - 1
FAY
71%
17%
12%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
FAY
1 - 1
BOA
26%
24%
50%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Santiago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
BOA
0 - 0
SAN
24%
23%
52%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 0
AGU
84%
11%
5%
|
34 | 9 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MIC
0 - 5
SAN
22%
23%
55%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 0
PRA
26%
25%
50%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | +4 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
LUS
1 - 1
SAN
58%
22%
21%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |