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III Divisao. Group Açores, Matchday 15

Fayal vs Santiago analysis

Fayal Santiago
19 ELO 21
34% Tilt 66%
15378º General ELO ranking 15379º
249º Country ELO ranking 250º
ELO win probability
43.2%
Fayal
22.1%
Draw
34.7%
Santiago

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
Fayal
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
34.7%
Win probability
Santiago
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fayal
+2%
+70%
Santiago

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Lusitânia
º
43
43
0%
Praiense
º
38
38
0%
Santiago
º
37
37
0%
Prainha
º
29
29
0%
Boavista São
º
27
27
0%
SC Guadalupe
º
20
20
0%
Ideal
º
19
19
0%
Micaelense
º
15
15
0%
Fayal
º
13
13
0%
Águia CD
º
6
6
10º
0%
Expected probabilities
Fayal
Santiago
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Fayal
FAY
Santiago
SAN
Prainha
PRA
Ideal
IDE
Lusitânia
LUS
Guadalupe
GUA
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fayal
Fayal
1%
X%
2%
ELO FAY ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jan. 2012
FAY
Fayal
3 - 2
Águia CD
AGU
45%
27%
28%
253 242 11 +1
22 Jan. 2012
PRA
Praiense
1 - 0
Fayal
FAY
47%
27%
26%
254 276 22 -1
07 Jan. 2012
FAY
Fayal
3 - 0
SC Guadalupe
SCG
46%
27%
27%
252 262 -10 +2
18 Dec. 2011
PRA
Prainha
5 - 1
Fayal
FAY
45%
27%
28%
254 259 5 -2
11 Dec. 2011
FAY
Fayal
1 - 1
Boavista São
BOA
46%
27%
27%
254 263 -9 0

Matches

Santiago
Santiago
1%
X%
2%
ELO SAN ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jan. 2012
BOA
Boavista São
0 - 0
Santiago
SAN
46%
27%
27%
276 262 -14 0
22 Jan. 2012
SAN
Santiago
3 - 0
Águia CD
AGU
47%
27%
26%
274 244 30 +2
08 Jan. 2012
MIC
Micaelense
0 - 5
Santiago
SAN
46%
27%
27%
271 260 -11 +3
18 Dec. 2011
SAN
Santiago
2 - 0
Praiense
PRA
45%
27%
28%
269 275 -6 +2
11 Dec. 2011
LUS
Lusitânia
1 - 1
Santiago
SAN
45%
27%
28%
269 272 3 0