Fayal vs Praiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
68.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fayal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
SCG
3 - 0
FAY
68%
18%
13%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
FAY
1 - 1
PRA
26%
24%
51%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
BOA
1 - 1
FAY
73%
17%
11%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Praiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
PRA
5 - 0
AGU
85%
11%
4%
|
43 | 10 | 33 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
PRA
2 - 1
SAN
75%
16%
10%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SCG
1 - 0
PRA
13%
20%
68%
|
44 | 17 | 27 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
PRA
0 - 2
SPC
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1971 |
PRA
0 - 11
VST
20%
21%
59%
|
44 | 84 | 40 | 0 |