Fatih Karagümrük vs Kasımpaşa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
75%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.7%
0-2
15.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatih Karagümrük
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
TEK
0 - 0
FAT
52%
24%
24%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
FAT
1 - 1
KAN
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
BER
0 - 1
FAT
38%
26%
36%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
FAT
0 - 0
PAY
67%
18%
15%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
SII
1 - 0
FAT
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Kasımpaşa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
KAS
0 - 2
ESK
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
SIV
1 - 2
KAS
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2013 |
KAS
2 - 3
FEN
31%
25%
44%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
KON
1 - 2
KAS
22%
26%
52%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
KAS
3 - 1
KAY
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |