Fatih Karagümrük vs Ankaragücü analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
7º
17º
7º
42
10º
18º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
85 | 88 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
77 | 80 |
2º
|
97.5% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
3º
|
97.5% | |
|
4º
|
69 | 69 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
51 | 51 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
41 | 41 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
40 | 40 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
30 | 30 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
92.5% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatih Karagümrük
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
BJK
4 - 1
FAT
60%
23%
18%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
FAT
2 - 4
ALA
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
SAK
3 - 3
FAT
27%
25%
48%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
FAT
0 - 1
ALA
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
FEN
0 - 0
FAT
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ankaragücü
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
GFK
1 - 0
ANK
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
ANK
0 - 0
KON
25%
26%
49%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
GEN
0 - 3
ANK
32%
25%
44%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
KEC
1 - 2
ANK
35%
27%
37%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
ANK
1 - 2
BOL
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |