Série D Brazil Eliminatorias. Quarter-finals
Global 0-4
Fast Clube vs Novorizontino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
63.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
13%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fast Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
FAS
1 - 0
GLO
32%
26%
42%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
GLO
2 - 1
FAS
62%
22%
16%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
FAS
1 - 1
MOT
36%
27%
37%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
MOT
2 - 2
FAS
63%
21%
16%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
FAS
1 - 1
GAL
43%
25%
32%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
NOV
4 - 0
GOI
57%
24%
19%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
GOI
1 - 1
NOV
30%
27%
43%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
NOV
3 - 0
CAS
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
CAS
1 - 0
NOV
34%
28%
38%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 3
AGU
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -2 |