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Ethiopia League. Matchday 28

Fasil Kenema vs Hawasa Ketema analysis

Fasil Kenema Hawasa Ketema
19 ELO 14
57% Tilt -10%
7348º General ELO ranking 8962º
Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
66.9%
Fasil Kenema
19.2%
Draw
13.9%
Hawasa Ketema

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
Fasil Kenema
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.9%
Win probability
Hawasa Ketema
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fasil Kenema
+29%
-1%
Hawasa Ketema

Basic stats

1
0
GF
0
1
GC
19
14
ELO
2.2
0.9
EXP
Key
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Fasil Kenema
Their league position
Hawasa Ketema
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
45
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Kedus St George
65
65
100%
Fasil Kenema
61
61
100%
Sidama Bunna
48
48
100%
Hawasa Ketema
45
45
100%
Welayta Dicha
42
42
50%
Ethiopia Bunna
42
42
50%
Arba Minch Kenema
40
40
100%
Wolkite Ketema
38
38
100%
Mekelakeya
37
37
10º
50%
Hadiya Hosaena
10º
37
37
50%
Adama Ketema
11º
35
35
12º
50%
Bahardar
12º
35
35
11º
50%
Dire Dawa Kenema
13º
33
33
13º
100%
Addis Ababa Ketema
14º
32
32
14º
100%
Sebeta City
15º
25
25
15º
100%
Jimma Aba Jifar
16º
23
23
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Fasil Kenema
Hawasa Ketema
Champion
0% 0%
CAF Confederation Cup
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Hawasa Ketema
AWK
Fasil Kenema
KET
Ethiopia Bunna
ETB
Mekelakeya
MAK
Adama Ketema
ADK
Dire Dawa Kenema
DIR
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fasil Kenema
Fasil Kenema
1%
X%
2%
ELO KET ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 May. 2022
KET
Fasil Kenema
1 - 0
Kedus St George
KGI
41%
27%
32%
261 421 -160 +1
18 May. 2022
MAK
Mekelakeya
1 - 2
Fasil Kenema
KET
46%
27%
27%
260 251 -9 +1
13 May. 2022
KET
Fasil Kenema
1 - 0
Bahardar
BAH
44%
27%
29%
258 249 9 +1
09 May. 2022
SIB
Sidama Bunna
0 - 1
Fasil Kenema
KET
46%
27%
27%
257 249 -8 +1
02 May. 2022
KET
Fasil Kenema
3 - 1
Welayta Dicha
WED
44%
27%
29%
255 247 8 +2

Matches

Hawasa Ketema
Hawasa Ketema
1%
X%
2%
ELO AWK ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Jun. 2022
DIR
Dire Dawa Kenema
1 - 3
Hawasa Ketema
AWK
44%
27%
29%
205 204 -1 +2
21 May. 2022
AWK
Hawasa Ketema
1 - 3
Ethiopia Bunna
ETB
41%
28%
31%
207 284 -77 -2
17 May. 2022
AMK
Arba Minch Kenema
2 - 1
Hawasa Ketema
AWK
44%
27%
29%
208 227 19 -1
13 May. 2022
AWK
Hawasa Ketema
2 - 2
Addis Ababa Ketema
AAK
46%
27%
27%
208 237 -29 0
08 May. 2022
SEB
Sebeta City
0 - 0
Hawasa Ketema
AWK
47%
27%
26%
208 244 36 0