Città di Fasano vs Virtus Casarano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
46.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Città di Fasano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
GEL
1 - 2
ASF
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ASF
1 - 1
ROT
63%
22%
15%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
USB
0 - 1
ASF
31%
25%
44%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ASF
0 - 0
SSM
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
GAL
1 - 4
ASF
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +3 |
Matches
Virtus Casarano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
FBC
0 - 1
VIR
20%
26%
55%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VIR
2 - 1
NAR
38%
27%
35%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
PAL
1 - 1
VIR
15%
23%
62%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
VIR
1 - 1
FIA
36%
28%
37%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
GEL
2 - 2
VIR
33%
28%
39%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |