El Salvador Play Offs Apertura Semi-finals
Global 1-1
FAS vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
FAS
4 - 1
SAN
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ONC
1 - 3
FAS
19%
26%
55%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
AGU
1 - 1
FAS
50%
25%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2012 |
FAS
4 - 1
MET
29%
25%
46%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
FAS
1 - 1
FIR
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 2
ALI
45%
26%
30%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 0
JUV
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
UES
3 - 3
ALI
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 2
ALI
49%
27%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 0
ONC
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |