Farvagny / Ogoz vs FC Châtel-St-Denis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
37.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
4º
11º
6º
40
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
84.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
|
10º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 44 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
64.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 40 |
11º
|
82% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 36 |
12º
|
91% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
13º
|
80% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
14º
|
71.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 20 |
15º
|
53% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 14 |
16º
|
77.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farvagny / Ogoz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
GUM
1 - 2
FAR
48%
21%
31%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FAR
1 - 2
TPA
49%
23%
28%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
FCE
2 - 4
FAR
61%
19%
20%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FAR
2 - 3
FCP
50%
23%
27%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FRI
1 - 3
FAR
44%
22%
33%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
FC Châtel-St-Denis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
FCC
7 - 3
TPA
54%
20%
26%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FCC
0 - 3
FCE
50%
21%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FCP
0 - 1
FCC
36%
22%
42%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FCC
0 - 0
FRI
69%
17%
15%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
DUD
2 - 1
FCC
60%
19%
21%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |