Farvagny / Ogoz vs Dudingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
61.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
4º
11º
6º
27
4º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
84.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
|
10º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 44 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
64.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 40 |
11º
|
82% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 36 |
12º
|
91% | |
|
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
13º
|
80% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
14º
|
71.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 20 |
15º
|
53% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 14 |
16º
|
77.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 85% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 15% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farvagny / Ogoz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
TAV
4 - 2
FAR
51%
23%
27%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FAR
1 - 2
LAU
13%
18%
69%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FCS
0 - 4
FAR
48%
21%
31%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FAR
1 - 2
FCC
37%
23%
40%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MAT
0 - 4
FAR
33%
22%
45%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Dudingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
DUD
1 - 0
FCE
62%
18%
20%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FCP
2 - 4
DUD
38%
22%
40%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
DUD
0 - 0
FRI
76%
14%
10%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
DUD
7 - 3
TPA
69%
17%
14%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
TAV
0 - 2
DUD
36%
23%
41%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +2 |