Farvagny / Ogoz vs Colombier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
34.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farvagny / Ogoz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
LOC
2 - 3
FAR
29%
21%
50%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
FAR
0 - 2
DUD
33%
23%
44%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
TER
4 - 0
FAR
71%
16%
13%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
STA
0 - 5
FAR
26%
23%
51%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
FAR
1 - 4
VAL
61%
20%
19%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Colombier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
COL
0 - 4
STA
75%
15%
10%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
VAL
1 - 2
COL
45%
22%
33%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
COL
0 - 0
ECH
77%
14%
10%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
THI
0 - 0
COL
25%
23%
53%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
COL
2 - 1
TPA
68%
17%
14%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |