FA Trophy Previa 3

Farnham Town vs Erith Town analysis

Farnham Town Erith Town
36 ELO 25
1.1% Tilt -0.1%
8163º General ELO ranking 10142º
348º Country ELO ranking 550º
ELO win probability
57%
Farnham Town
20.1%
Draw
22.9%
Erith Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
Farnham Town
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
22.9%
Win probability
Erith Town
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO progression

Farnham Town
Erith Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Farnham Town
Farnham Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Aug. 2024
FAR
Farnham Town
2 - 4
Sittingbourne
SIT
41%
22%
37%
36 38 2 0
30 Jul. 2024
FAR
Farnham Town
1 - 4
Bracknell Town FC
BRA
16%
18%
66%
37 49 12 -1
27 Jul. 2024
DOR
Dorking Wanderers
2 - 1
Farnham Town
FAR
59%
20%
22%
37 42 5 0
06 Jul. 2024
FAR
Farnham Town
4 - 0
Queens Park Rangers U21
QPR
13%
16%
71%
36 53 17 +1
27 Apr. 2024
TOO
Tooting and Mitcham
0 - 7
Farnham Town
FAR
10%
16%
74%
36 14 22 0

Matches

Erith Town
Erith Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Aug. 2024
MER
Merstham
2 - 1
Erith Town
ERI
41%
24%
35%
27 26 1 0
25 Apr. 2024
ERI
Erith Town
1 - 0
Snodland Town
STF
70%
16%
14%
27 20 7 0
23 Apr. 2024
DEA
Deal Town
2 - 0
Erith Town
ERI
49%
23%
28%
28 29 1 -1
20 Apr. 2024
ERI
Erith Town
2 - 1
Lordswood FC
LOR
78%
14%
9%
29 20 9 -1
17 Apr. 2024
TUN
Tunbridge Wells
0 - 2
Erith Town
ERI
24%
22%
54%
29 22 7 0