Farnborough vs Truro City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
25.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
BAT
3 - 2
FAR
35%
24%
41%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
FAR
4 - 1
WHI
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
HAY
3 - 2
FAR
46%
23%
31%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
HAV
0 - 1
FAR
37%
24%
40%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
FAR
4 - 1
TON
42%
24%
34%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Truro City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
WHI
3 - 2
HOR
41%
24%
35%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
FAR
4 - 1
WHI
55%
22%
23%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
WHI
1 - 2
SUT
39%
26%
35%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
STA
1 - 0
WHI
50%
23%
28%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
WHI
2 - 1
BAT
48%
24%
29%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |