Farnborough vs Salisbury City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
48.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
SWI
4 - 2
FAR
41%
22%
37%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
TIV
1 - 1
FAR
62%
19%
19%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
FAR
0 - 1
CHE
69%
17%
15%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
POO
6 - 0
FAR
48%
22%
30%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
FAR
3 - 2
FRO
81%
11%
8%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Salisbury City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
SAL
2 - 0
MER
70%
16%
14%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
CHE
1 - 4
SAL
29%
22%
49%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
GOS
1 - 4
SAL
25%
20%
54%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
SAL
2 - 3
WES
60%
20%
20%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
WES
2 - 2
SAL
33%
22%
45%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |