Farense vs Tondela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
30.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2021 |
FCP
5 - 1
FAR
80%
14%
6%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
FAR
2 - 2
VIT
24%
27%
49%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
GFC
0 - 0
FAR
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
FAR
1 - 1
POR
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
PAÇ
0 - 2
FAR
61%
24%
15%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2021 |
TON
1 - 3
BEL
42%
28%
30%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
BOA
1 - 1
TON
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
TON
0 - 2
SLB
8%
16%
76%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
FAM
2 - 2
TON
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
TON
2 - 1
NAC
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |