Farense vs Moreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
38%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
7º
17º
9º
49
5º
16º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
84 | 88 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 69 |
3º
|
69% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 68 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 63 |
5º
|
96% | |
|
|
6º
|
49 | 52 |
6º
|
93.5% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 49 |
7º
|
93.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 40 |
9º
|
57.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
10º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
30% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
25% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
13º
|
33.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 34 |
14º
|
35% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 33 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 29 |
16º
|
79% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 25 |
17º
|
55.5% | |
|
17º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
55.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SPB
2 - 1
FAR
72%
18%
11%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
FAR
1 - 1
FAM
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
FAR
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
FAR
1 - 3
FCP
19%
24%
57%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 3
FAR
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 2
SCP
23%
23%
54%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 0
CHA
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SPB
1 - 0
MOR
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 0
FAM
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
FCP
5 - 0
MOR
70%
18%
11%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |