Farense vs Lagoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.2%
+6
2%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
15.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.2%
+3
18.4%
2-0
19.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.4%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
22.7%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.5%
3.3%
Win probability
0.3
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ALJ
2 - 2
FAR
9%
21%
70%
|
70 | 23 | 47 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
FAR
2 - 0
SES
84%
12%
3%
|
70 | 24 | 46 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
DES
0 - 1
FAR
8%
20%
72%
|
71 | 8 | 63 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
FAR
5 - 0
LAG
82%
14%
4%
|
71 | 36 | 35 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
QUA
0 - 2
FAR
11%
22%
68%
|
70 | 35 | 35 | +1 |
Matches
Lagoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LAG
0 - 1
MES
40%
25%
35%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
RED
1 - 2
LAG
29%
24%
47%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
LAG
0 - 2
FAB
12%
20%
68%
|
22 | 68 | 46 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
LAG
2 - 3
ALJ
42%
25%
33%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
SES
1 - 0
LAG
44%
24%
32%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |