Farense vs Gil Vicente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
28.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
EST
1 - 1
FAR
51%
26%
24%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
FAR
4 - 0
RIO
47%
27%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
FAR
0 - 0
VST
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
SAN
1 - 2
FAR
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
FAR
3 - 2
SAL
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
GFC
2 - 0
VST
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
SAN
0 - 0
GFC
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
GFC
2 - 0
SAL
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
SLB
3 - 0
GFC
77%
16%
8%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
GFC
5 - 1
MAR
44%
27%
28%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |