Farense vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.4%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
72.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
FAR
3 - 1
GFC
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
POR
2 - 0
FAR
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
FAR
1 - 1
PAÇ
32%
26%
42%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
SCP
1 - 0
FAR
77%
17%
7%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2020 |
FAR
2 - 1
MAR
37%
27%
36%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
SCP
2 - 1
FCP
26%
24%
49%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2021 |
FCP
1 - 1
SLB
46%
24%
30%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 4
FCP
10%
19%
71%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2021 |
FAM
1 - 4
FCP
15%
20%
66%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
FCP
3 - 0
MOR
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |