Farense vs Estrela Amadora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
17.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1996 |
FAR
4 - 1
SAL
57%
24%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
MAR
0 - 0
FAR
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
FAR
1 - 1
UDL
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
SLB
0 - 1
FAR
73%
18%
9%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
FAR
0 - 0
FEL
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Estrela Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1996 |
BOA
1 - 1
EST
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
EST
1 - 1
FCP
22%
27%
51%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
LEC
0 - 2
EST
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
EST
2 - 3
CHA
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
GFC
0 - 1
EST
49%
28%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |