Farense vs Benfica II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
FAR
1 - 0
FEI
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 0
FAR
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
FAR
1 - 0
CHA
39%
27%
35%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
SER
2 - 1
FAR
5%
14%
81%
|
68 | 41 | 27 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
VAR
1 - 3
FAR
36%
29%
35%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
SPC
2 - 2
BEN
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
BEN
3 - 3
VAR
48%
26%
27%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
FEI
1 - 1
BEN
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
BEN
2 - 2
MAF
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 1
BEN
50%
26%
25%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |