Farense Sub 23 vs Mafra Sub 23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
16.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
5º
2º
15
4º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
31 | 25 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
32 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
32 | 24 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
15 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 0
FAR
51%
22%
27%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
POR
1 - 2
FAR
55%
21%
24%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
FAR
0 - 1
LEX
50%
22%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
FAR
1 - 1
SPO
57%
20%
23%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
GIL
0 - 0
FAR
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Mafra Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MAF
0 - 4
RIO
53%
21%
25%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
MAF
1 - 3
MAR
36%
23%
42%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
SPO
3 - 1
MAF
47%
21%
32%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
MAF
1 - 1
POR
35%
22%
43%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
GIL
2 - 1
MAF
74%
16%
10%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |