Farense Sub 23 vs Estoril Sub 23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
53.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
4º
11º
10º
31
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 10 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
FAR
1 - 4
MAF
63%
19%
18%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
POR
0 - 4
FAR
52%
24%
24%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
FAR
2 - 1
SAN
81%
12%
7%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BES
5 - 0
FAR
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 1
FAR
52%
24%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 2
EST
10%
18%
72%
|
48 | 17 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BES
3 - 4
EST
33%
24%
43%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
EST
3 - 1
SPO
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
EST
1 - 2
EST
38%
25%
37%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
EST
4 - 2
POR
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |